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Wall Street is betting Trump backs down on Iran — but what if the ‘TACO’ trade fails this time?

For six months, investors had a playbook: when Trump threatens Iran, buy the dip, because he always backs down. But in September, the playbook stopped working.

Where: Iran

Exact coordinates

iran: 32.430, 53.690

Read it at MarketWatch See this on the map

What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

ForecastGeo shows the headline and summary published by the newsroom and places the story on a map. The full article lives at the source.