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Trump pick Todd Blanche clears major hurdle in bid to become US attorney general

Republican Senator Bill Cassidy said on Friday he would back Todd Blanche for attorney general, clearing a path for Donald Trump’s nominee after weeks of scrutiny over the Justice Department’s independence from the White House. Cassidy emerged as the probable deciding vote after Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski of ‌Alaska said she would oppose Blanche for the top US law enforcement job, leaving the nomination on the brink. Cassidy’s support for Blanche capped one of the most contentious…

Places named in this report: Alaska

Exact coordinates

alaska: 64.200, -152.490

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What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

  • Unresolved 45% Nomination Confirmed by Senate Vote

    With the key vote secured, the nomination proceeds to a formal confirmation hearing or a final roll-call vote in the Senate. The support from key Republican figures solidifies, leading to the appointment being approved by the Senate and subsequently signed into law.

    Watch for: The Senate announces a bipartisan vote in favor of Todd Blanche. · The Justice Department issues a press release announcing the appointment of Todd Blanche as Attorney General.

  • Unresolved 30% Last-Minute Withdrawal and Re-nomination

    Despite Senator Cassidy's support, internal pressure from factions wary of potential conflicts of interest resurfaces. Blanche withdraw the nomination just before the final vote, prompting Trump to quickly announce a second, vetted nominee within the two-week window.

    Watch for: Todd Blanche issues a public statement announcing his withdrawal from the consideration for Attorney General. · Donald Trump holds a press conference naming a new candidate for the role.

  • Unresolved 15% Procedural Gridlock and Delay

    Opposition forces successfully leverage procedural rules to stall the confirmation vote, despite the apparent majority. The Senate is forced into a series of procedural maneuvers or procedural votes that push the appointment past the immediate 14-day window.

    Watch for: The Senate schedules an additional, non-binding committee review for the Attorney General nomination. · A leadership spokesperson states the confirmation process will require additional legislative consideration.

  • Unresolved 10% Unexpected Democratic/Independent Defection

    A single, previously undecided or non-voting member of the Senate, either a Democrat or Independent, breaks through partisan lines and votes in favor of Blanche. This shifts the balance just enough to ensure passage before the end of the week.

    Watch for: A specific Senator, previously noted as undecided, casts a 'Yea' vote on the nomination. · White House staff releases a memo confirming the nomination has passed the Senate on a final vote.

Generated by gemma-4-E4B-it-qat-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf on 2026-08-08. Checked against later coverage after 2026-08-15. See how these forecasts score.

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