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Three of the UK’s four nations are led by parties advocating a split. Which is most likely to go?

For the first time in its history three of the four nations of the UK are led by parties that advocate holding referendums on breaking away from the UK. Recently, the first ministers of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland signed an agreement to work together on this agenda. Prime Minister Andy Burnham has made devolution one of his guiding principles, although at the Labour party conference he was clear he intended to see off any threat to the integrity of the UK: “Britain is not perfect. It…

Where: Ireland

Exact coordinates

ireland: 53.140, -7.690

Read it at The Conversation See this on the map

What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

ForecastGeo shows the headline and summary published by the newsroom and places the story on a map. The full article lives at the source.