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Pain and the struggle for relief: How fear influences patient access to medical opioids

If you are in severe pain and struggling to get opioid medication in Indonesia, you are not alone. Despite the International Narcotics Control Board (INCB) recognising several therapeutic opioid as essential medicines, Indonesia has one of the lowest levels of medical opioid use in the region, far below global and regional standards. Indonesia consumes only 26 opioid doses per million people per day, compared with 1,467 doses in Malaysia and 200 in Timor-Leste. The problem is not a lack of medical need. It is government policy, our research shows. One complicating factor is the government’s strict political approach to narcotics, which prioritises consideration of potential harms over the real clinical need of patients to access essential medicines. Why are opioids so difficult to access? Therapeutic opioids are standard treatment for severe pain, including for cancer, post-surgical and palliative care. They work by blocking pain signals from the body to the brain. Indonesia’s National Essential Medicines List contains several strong opioids, such as morphine, pethidine, methadone, fentanyl, remifentanil, hydromorphone, and sufentanil. These opioids are different from what are sometimes referred to as ‘weak’ opioids such as codeine and tramadol, which are used for moderate pain. Tramadol and codeine are regulated under a different regulation to strong opioids and are more widely available in Indonesia. Like any medicine, opioids carry risks, including addiction and side effects. However, when prescribed appropriately, their benefits generally outweigh those risks. These medicines are legal, but many patients struggle to obtain them. One major reason is the government’s reluctance to import larger quantities because of concerns about potential misuse. Yet Indonesia’s medical needs continue to grow. Around 5,000 to 10,000 people per million require palliative care, while 137 new cancer cases occur per 100,000 people each year. Every year, Indonesia submits its estimated narcotic needs, including opioids, to the INCB, which sets limits on a country’s maximum annual import quota. If the Ministry of Health wants more opioids, it must request a higher quota for the following year. The ministry argues that Indonesia’s opioid use is too low to justify larger imports. However, our 2026 research found the opposite: usage is low because supplies are already insufficient. Hospitals frequently face shortages, long procurement delays and cash-on-delivery requirements. Many pharmacies also choose not to stock opioids because of the huge amount of paperwork and low profits. As a result, many hospitals carry low stocks of opioids and doctors cannot guarantee patients will be able to fill their medical opioid prescriptions. To avoid further pressure on patients, some doctors look for other pain management solutions, even when medical opioids are the best treatment option. Fear of misuse shapes policy Our team of researchers from universities in Indonesia and Australia held a public workshop in Jakarta in June 2026. We presented the results of our research on the factors that affect medical opioid use in Indonesia. Government officials agreed the shortage is concerning. However, representatives from the National Agency of Drug and Food Control, the Health Ministry, the National Narcotics Agency, and other institutions also argued that increasing opioid supplies could increase misuse, crime and addiction. Some of these concerns may be influenced by the North American “opioid crisis”. In fact, Indonesia’s situation is very different. The US crisis was fuelled by aggressive marketing by Purdue Pharma, which falsely promoted OxyContin as a safe long-term pain treatment. The company later agreed to pay billions in compensation to victims, and was convicted of criminal charges in 2026. Indonesia, meanwhile, has much tighter controls. The government strictly regulates opioid imports and distribution, with the state-owned company Kimia Farma handling almost all supplies. Moreover, opioids are not prescribed for long-term pain management. In the US, Purdue Pharma incorrectly promoted the use of OxyContin as a non-addictive treatment for long-term pain management. This was one of the triggers for the “opioid crisis” that emerged in North America in the 1990s. In 2025, Purdue Pharma agreed to pay billions in compensation to victims and was convicted of criminal charges in 2026. Two separate issues Our research found no cases of doctors prescribing medical opioids inappropriately. The 64 healthcare workers we interviewed understood the prescribing rules, and our review of court records found no criminal cases involving illegal prescribing. Interviewees did identify operational problems, including a complex reporting system, storing and the need for more training. Even so, they agreed that the authorities must strictly monitor these drugs and are supportive of government measures to ensure opioids are handled with care. It seems that current safeguards already make diversion from hospitals to the illegal market rare. Yet policymakers continue to assume that increasing legitimate medical supplies will inevitably increase misuse. This confuses two different problems: preventing illegal drug trafficking and sale is a law enforcement responsibility, while ensuring access to pain relief is part of the right to health. Both matter. Ensuring restricted access and strict government oversight of opioids is warranted. But prioritising concerns about potential misuse over real patients’ access to approved treatment risks undermining the legal right to health for Indonesian citizens. Discussions about drug classification, alternative therapies and patient care must be grounded in scientific research and evidence. Patients in severe pain should not be denied essential medicines because of hypothetical risks that current regulations are already designed to prevent. Healthcare and services professionals should be supported in their work to improve patients’ quality of life. Neither of these benefit when potential criminality is prioritised over patient care. Elisabeth Kramer receives funding from the Australian Research Council for this research (grant number LP210100387). She is a member of the secretariat for the Indonesia Council, which aims to raise awareness of Indonesia in Australia and support research collaboration between Australian and Indonesian researchers. Andi Hermansyah and the research team receive funding from the Australian Research Council (grant number LP210100387). They do not receive funding from the pharmaceutical or healthcare industries. Anshar Saud receives funding from the Australian Research Council (grant number LP210100387). Asmin Fransiska receives funding from the Australian Research Council (grant number LP2101003) and does not receive funding from the pharmaceutical or healthcare sectors. Barbara Mintzes is a member of Health Action International (HAI-Europe), a non-profit organisation that supports access to essential medicines. She also serves as the Secretary General of the International Society of Independent Drug Bulletins (ISDB) and the Association Mieux Prescrire, a French non-profit organisation. None of these organisations receive funding from the pharmaceutical industry. This project is funded by the Australian Research Council (grant number LP10100387). Desak Ketut Ernawati and the research team receive funding from the Australian Research Council (grant number LP210100387). They do not receive funding from the pharmaceutical or healthcare industries. Kirsty Foster is affiliated with the Australia and New Zealand Association of Health Professional Educators. She conducts accreditations for medical schools and specialist medical colleges on behalf of the Australian Medical Council. She receives no funding from, nor does she have any ties to, any pharmaceutical companies. This project is funded by the Australian Research Council (grant number LP210100387). Paul Glare receives funding from the Australian Research Council (grant number LP210100387). Simon Butt receives funding from the Australian Research Council (grant number LP210100387).

Where: New Zealand, Australia, Indonesia

Exact coordinates

new zealand: -40.900, 174.890
australia: -25.270, 133.780
indonesia: -0.790, 113.920

Read it at The Conversation See this on the map

What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

  • Awaiting deadline 40% Policy Reform via International Pressure (Most Likely)

    Driven by consistent reports and potential pressure from international health bodies, the Ministry of Health initiates a pilot program to increase opioid supply in specific high-need areas. This involves a formal review of the current import quotas, shifting the focus from fear to evidence presented by academic bodies.

    Watch for: The Indonesian Ministry of Health announces a new regulatory framework for essential opioid imports. · The INCB issues a statement acknowledging the disparity between clinical need and current supply in Indonesia.

  • Awaiting deadline 30% Status Quo Maintenance (Most Likely)

    The entrenched conservative view within the National Narcotics Agency prevails, leading to bureaucratic inertia. While shortages persist, minor administrative adjustments are made without tackling the core issue of supply limitations or policy rigidity.

    Watch for: A new internal report from the National Agency of Drug and Food Control reiterates the high risk associated with increasing opioid availability. · No change is reported in the average procurement delay for essential medications across major Indonesian hospital chains.

  • Awaiting deadline 20% Crisis-Driven Market Shift (Less Likely)

    An acute, widespread public health crisis, perhaps related to a major epidemic or a catastrophic increase in cancer diagnoses, forces the government's hand. The resulting media outcry pressures leaders to override existing narcotics concerns temporarily to prevent mass suffering.

    Watch for: The Indonesian Minister of Health makes a public statement explicitly prioritizing patient access over narcotics concerns in the immediate term. · A major international aid organization partners with the Indonesian government to manage a temporary, expanded opioid distribution network.

  • Awaiting deadline 10% Regulatory Stagnation & Dark Market Growth (Least Likely - Counter-Intuitive)

    Despite the research proving the shortages are due to policy, the political will to change remains zero. As legitimate supply remains insufficient, the demand for high-potency opioids shifts entirely to unregulated, black market sources.

    Watch for: The National Narcotics Agency reports a spike in seizures of high-potency, unverified opioid substances in urban areas. · Local pharmacies begin reporting an increase in anecdotal patient complaints regarding difficulty filling *any* prescription, even for regulated low-dose pain relief.

Generated by gemma-4-E4B-it-qat-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf on 2026-08-03. Checked against later coverage after 2028-08-02. See how these forecasts score.

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