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Media and political complacency is letting Pauline Hanson re-write the rules on accountability

“Disappointing” was the best Guardian Australia could muster when Pauline Hanson’s One Nation banned it from a press conference, this time called to announce the party’s candidates for the forthcoming Victorian state election. “Unorthodox” was the reaction of The Age, which was also banned, along with the ABC. These are the latest in a series of bans imposed by One Nation on media it does not like. The first occurred on the eve of the byelection for the federal seat of Farrer in southern New South Wales on May 9. The ABC was chucked out, and the rest of the media stood by and did nothing. The second occurred in Perth on June 11 when the ABC was ejected from a Swan chamber of commerce event at which Hanson spoke. Once again the other media acquiesced. And now, along with The Guardian, The Age and has been added to the list of the proscribed in its home state, where an election is to be held in November. In the face of a clear and present danger to press freedom and Australian democracy, two of the most important newspapers in the country cannot find it in themselves to call One Nation’s behaviour what it is: tyrannical. One Nation’s banning of the ABC and abuse of journalists is shameful. It’s time other media took a stand In democracies, public figures do not get to pick and choose who covers them and how. This is especially so with politicians at election time. With polls showing between one in three and one in five voters would vote One Nation, allowing Hanson to get away with granting access only to those who give her favourable coverage makes it even likelier that support for her will grow. It creates a vicious circle. In a country like Australia which has no constitutional protection for press freedom, this cornerstone of democracy rests on conventions. US President Donald Trump has trashed conventions in his country, and Hanson is following his example by trashing them here. Yet in the three months since One Nation first committed this assault on our democratic norms, the reaction has been muted. The best the prime minister has been able to do is say that excluding the media is “misguided”. Not a word from the leader of the opposition, the Australian Press Council or heads of major media organisations. Taking advantage of their complacency, Hanson is re-writing the rules governing political accountability. In political science there is an arcane phenomenon known as the Overton window, named for Joseph Overton, an American public policy analyst. His proposition was that there are moments in the field of public policy when the previously unacceptable or unsayable can suddenly be said or done without attracting instant and annihilating condemnation. The window shifts under a particular set of conditions. First, there are signs suggesting a possible shift in public sentiment or community mores. Second, it takes someone with sufficient political momentum and willpower to say the previously unsayable. Third, it requires other participants in public discourse to take notice and even acquiesce. This has the effect of normalising it. Pauline Hanson has shifted the Overton window in Australia by saying, for example, that Australia should be a monoculture. Such a brazenly racist and divisive statement made before her rise in the polls would have been swiftly condemned and may have done her serious political harm. But not in the prevailing political climate. She is doing it again with press freedom. She says she will decide who comes to her press conferences and the circumstances in which they come, and the media murmur platitudes such as “disappointing” and “unorthodox”. The window can shift back again when the consequences sink in, but it takes moral strength and determination to make this happen. The only senior figure in Australian political life to say what needed saying was Greens Senator Sarah Hanson-Young. After the exclusion of Guardian Australia, The Age and the ABC from One Nation’s Victorian press conference, Hanson-Young denounced Pauline Hanson as a political coward running scared of scrutiny. She was “a politician who thinks that she should have the right to say whatever she wants, but no one else should have the right to ask questions”. That was a start, but the violation of democratic principle is the central issue. One media organisation caught squarely in the spotlight in all this is Southern Cross Media. Hanson’s benefactor, Gina Rinehart, is spending upwards of $26 million buying nearly 10% of the company’s shares through an intermediary, Bruce McWilliam. Southern Cross is one of Australia’s biggest media organisations. It owns the Seven Network, 7news.com.au, the Triple M and Hit radio brands, a raft of regional radio stations, and West Australian Newspapers. A right mess: how mining, media and political interests are combining to influence public debate in Australia So where does Southern Cross Media in particular stand on One Nation’s attempts to control who reports on the party and how? The situation has become a dilemma. Hanson and One Nation must be covered in order that the public should know what they stand for, so a media boycott of them is not an option. Moreover, a boycott would work only if all the main media organisations joined, and the chances of that are nil given News Corporation’s generally supportive coverage of her in its tabloids and on News24 (formerly Sky News) after dark. The opportunity to make a media boycott effective was lost at Farrer. There, Hanson could be heard telling her officials the ABC should not have been excluded. Now she has seen what she can get away with. So having sown the wind by their supine response, the media are now reaping the whirlwind, facing the threat that they might be next unless they give Hanson and One Nation the coverage they want. Yet the media have the remedy in their own hands. They have the power to make Hanson’s tyrannical attitudes and behaviour a central issue, and their failure to use this power has only emboldened her. It is time to shift the Overton window back, on this issue at least. Language like “disappointing”, “unorthodox” and “misguided” won’t do it. Denis Muller does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

Where: Australia

Exact coordinates

australia: -25.270, 133.780

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What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

  • Awaiting deadline 35% Regulatory Intervention and Formal Challenge

    Growing public and political pressure forces formal legal or regulatory action against One Nation’s practices, moving the debate beyond journalistic platitudes. A formal complaint is lodged with the relevant media oversight body, forcing a public ruling on press access rights. This signals a structural check against the erosion of democratic norms.

    Watch for: The Australian Communications and Media Authority (ACMA) issues a formal binding ruling citing a breach of journalistic access. · A legal challenge is filed against One Nation regarding the selective banning of specific media outlets.

  • Awaiting deadline 25% Political Mainstream Adoption

    The perceived normalization of these tactics becomes a liability for the major political parties, forcing them to publicly condemn the behavior to distance themselves from One Nation. This shifts the narrative from a press freedom issue to a core principle of responsible governance. Major opposition leaders begin publicly calling for stricter media conduct guidelines for all political parties.

    Watch for: The Leader of the Opposition delivers a major televised address explicitly condemning One Nation's media exclusion tactics. · A coalition of major political parties issues a joint statement regarding media impartiality.

  • Awaiting deadline 20% Entrenchment and Acceptance (Counter-Intuitive)

    The political momentum behind One Nation proves too strong, leading the mainstream media to eventually normalize the practice to avoid alienating voters or facing economic repercussions. The initial shock fades, and media coverage adapts by focusing on the *content* of Hanson's rallies rather than the *method* of access. The media effectively accepts the new, informal 'rules' of engagement.

    Watch for: Major networks report on a One Nation event without explicitly mentioning the ban, treating the exclusion as a known, accepted part of the political landscape. · A prominent media pundit argues in a major column that 'political theatre' requires accepting certain access limitations.

  • Awaiting deadline 20% Internal Media Crisis and Fragmentation

    The internal conflict within the media establishment fractures, leading to a visible split between 'establishment' media supporting the status quo and smaller, progressive outlets making high-profile, unified attacks. This leads to a temporary, but highly visible, media boycott organized by activist groups against the mainstream players. Southern Cross Media faces a major internal leadership challenge.

    Watch for: A high-profile media executive publicly resign citing 'irreconcilable differences' regarding political neutrality. · A coalition of independent digital news outlets launches a coordinated, week-long 'Media Accountability Week' campaign.

Generated by gemma-4-E4B-it-qat-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf on 2026-08-04. Checked against later coverage after 2027-01-31. See how these forecasts score.

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