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Democrats’ chances of gaining control of Congress at US midterms depend on Iran war

In Nate Silver’s forecast model, Democrats are more likely than not to gain control of the US federal Senate at November 3 midterm elections, and strongly favoured to gain control of the House of Representatives. Donald Trump’s net approval is close to -20. If disruption caused by the Iran war continues until the midterm elections, with increased petrol prices and inflation, Republicans are likely to lose control of both the House and the Senate, possibly with huge losses. However, if the…

Where: Australia, Texas, Iran, Missouri, Ohio, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska

Exact coordinates

australia: -25.270, 133.780
texas: 31.970, -99.900
iran: 32.430, 53.690
missouri: 38.570, -92.600
ohio: 40.420, -82.910
iowa: 41.880, -93.100
michigan: 44.310, -85.600
alaska: 64.200, -152.490

Read it at The Conversation See this on the map

What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

ForecastGeo shows the headline and summary published by the newsroom and places the story on a map. The full article lives at the source.