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China state TV does not air first La Liga games since Mbappe furore

Chinese state television did not air on Saturday the first La Liga games since Real Madrid star Kylian Mbappe caused anger with a joke about the country’s former leader Mao Zedong. It was not immediately clear whether state broadcaster CCTV had scheduled screenings of the matches and then cancelled them, or whether they were not […]

Places named in this report: China

Exact coordinates

china: 35.860, 104.200

Read it at Hong Kong Free Press See this on the map

What might happen next? AI-generated

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

  • Awaiting deadline 50% Continued Silent Censorship

    CCTV continues to omit La Liga broadcasts without issuing any official statement or apology regarding the Mbappe incident. State media maintains a low-profile approach by simply not airing the matches, effectively freezing diplomatic relations with Real Madrid while avoiding public confrontation.

    Watch for: No new CCTV schedule listings for upcoming La Liga matches are published · CCTV social media accounts make no mention of the Mbappe controversy in their posts · The Spanish Football Federation (RFEF) issues a statement calling for dialogue but receives no response from Chinese authorities

  • Awaiting deadline 30% Public Apology and Restored Broadcasts

    Kylian Mbappe or Real Madrid issues a formal apology to China regarding the joke about Mao Zedong. Following this statement, CCTV resumes broadcasting La Liga matches on state television within two weeks.

    Watch for: Kylian Mbappe posts a video or tweet explicitly apologizing to the Chinese people · Real Madrid official account posts an apology in Mandarin · CCTV publishes a new schedule including upcoming La Liga match times

  • Awaiting deadline 15% Diplomatic Intervention via UEFA

    UEFA intervenes to mediate between Chinese broadcasters and La Liga. A joint statement is issued where all parties agree to move past the incident, and CCTV confirms that the ban was due to scheduling conflicts rather than political reasons.

    Watch for: A press conference is held by UEFA officials discussing media rights agreements with China · CCTV releases a statement stating the non-broadcasting of games was unrelated to Mbappe's comments · La Liga CEO announces a meeting with CCTV representatives

  • Awaiting deadline 5% Escalation and Sponsorship Loss

    The controversy escalates into broader commercial consequences. Major Chinese sponsors linked to Real Madrid or La Liga suspend their partnerships, and CCTV permanently removes all La Liga coverage from its sports programming slate for the season.

    Watch for: A major Chinese company announces it is ending its sponsorship deal with Real Madrid · La Liga confirms that all future matches will not be broadcast in China via official channels · Chinese state media outlets publish articles criticizing Real Madrid's management

Generated by qwen3.8-flash-next-q2_0 on 2026-11-01. Checked against later coverage after 2026-11-08. See how these forecasts score.

ForecastGeo shows the headline and summary published by the newsroom and places the story on a map. The full article lives at the source.