Beau Lamarre-Condon developed ‘obsession’ with Jesse Baird before fatal double shooting, court hears

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

• Awaiting deadline 35% Early Plea Bargain

  Facing intense public scrutiny and the gravity of the 'obsession' allegations, the defense team attempts to negotiate a reduced sentence or charge to avoid a full, sensational trial. The prosecution, seeing the public interest, might agree to a modified plea deal before the trial proceeds too far.

  Watch for: The Sydney Supreme Court announces a pre-trial plea agreement between the defense and prosecution. · The media reports the formal withdrawal of one of the murder charges.

• Awaiting deadline 30% Trial Continuation (Standard Path)

  The legal battle proceeds as planned with the defense maintaining its not guilty plea. The next few weeks will focus on the prosecution's initial presentation of evidence regarding the alleged Uber Eats disguise. Public interest in the case remains high, driving media coverage.

  Watch for: The court schedules the presentation of the prosecution's first key witness testimony regarding the Uber Eats disguise. · A judge issues a ruling on the admissibility of specific digital evidence presented by the prosecution.

• Awaiting deadline 20% Rapid Verdict Due to Evidence Strength

  The prosecution's initial presentation of evidence is so compelling, particularly regarding the 'infatuation' motive, that the judge or jury quickly reaches a verdict. This would bypass extensive witness testimony and send a swift, definitive message to the public about the case.

  Watch for: The judge declares the case ready for a swift verdict following the initial evidence submission. · The media reports a verdict being handed down before the end of the two-week period.

• Awaiting deadline 15% Defense Aggressive Counter-Narrative

  In a counter-intuitive move against the public narrative of obsession, the defense introduces a radical theory suggesting the victim initiated contact or that the relationship had a non-sexual, consensual dynamic prior to the incident. This unexpected angle shifts the focus away from the stalker narrative. This runs counter to the obvious trajectory.

  Watch for: The defense files a motion for a directed verdict based on inconsistencies in the victim's timeline. · A defense expert testifies presenting an alternative theory of the victim's state of mind before the shooting.

Generated by llama on 2026-09-21. Checked against later coverage after 2026-09-28. See how these forecasts score.