After Notre-Dame Fire, France Restored the Cathedral — but Not These Windows

These scenarios are written by an AI language model from the headline and summary above. They are not predictions from the newsroom, and they are not evidence of anything. Every one is given a deadline and checked against later coverage, and the score is published on the ledger — including the ones that miss.

• Unresolved 50% Continued Litigation

  Construction continues on the replacement windows despite a stay of execution from the administrative court, as the government argues the preservation project is already too far along to halt without significant financial loss. Protesters gather outside the cathedral daily, but no immediate injunction is granted before the 14-day deadline.

  Watch for: French administrative court denies emergency request to stop installation of the six new windows · Construction workers are filmed installing glass panels at Notre-Dame despite ongoing protests

• Unresolved 30% Government Compromise

  Facing intense pressure from cultural heritage groups and the public outcry, the French Ministry of Culture announces a pause in the installation of the controversial windows pending a new public consultation or a revised design that blends modern and traditional elements.

  Watch for: French Minister of Culture announces a temporary halt to the window installation project · Government launches a 30-day public consultation period regarding Notre-Dame's stained glass

• Unresolved 15% Judicial Injunction

  An administrative judge issues an urgent injunction blocking the removal of the current windows or the installation of the new ones, ruling that the government failed to properly consult stakeholders before moving forward with the controversial design change.

  Watch for: French judge issues injunction halting work on Notre-Dame's replacement windows · Court ruling cites insufficient public consultation in the renovation process

• Unresolved 5% Vandalism Incident

  In a dramatic turn, activists successfully breach the perimeter of Notre-Dame and deface or damage the existing historic windows or the newly installed frames, forcing an immediate police response and a complete suspension of the project for investigation.

  Watch for: Police arrest activists suspected of damaging Notre-Dame windows during protest · Emergency lockdown of Notre-Dame perimeter following vandalism incident

Generated by Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q5_K_M.gguf on 2026-08-14. Checked against later coverage after 2026-08-28. See how these forecasts score.